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  • Insight Future Outlook of the Real Estate Cycle
    Q4 2025

    US commercial real estate investment and transactions quarterly

    National transaction activity

    Key highlights


    • Through Q4 2025, 46,395 properties transacted, up 3.9% quarter over quarter and 2.2% year over year; office (+2.9%), multifamily (+3.8%), and hospitality (+85.9%) outpaced the overall annual growth rate, while industrial rose just 1.4% and retail activity was effectively flat


    • Aggregate transaction volume totaled $179.9 billion in Q4 2025, a 20.7% increase from the prior quarter and up 20.2% year over year. Industrial drove much of the annual growth, surging 54.4% to $44.9 billion (the largest single sector) accounting for just under a quarter of total activity and 29.9% of single-asset sale volume


    • Multi-property (+32.2%), general commercial (+51.9%), and hospitality (+72.9%) also recorded year-over-year dollar-volume gains that exceeded the overall market increase


    • For full-year 2025, 176,445 properties transacted, up 0.6% from 2024 and marking the first annual increase since 2021; total transaction volume reached $560.2 billion, a 14.4% year-over-year gain and the second consecutive annual increase


    Methodology


    The analysis presented in this report is based primarily on US commercial real estate transaction data from Altus Group's Reonomy dataset, the following charts provide an overview of transaction activity, highlighting the volume of single-property, non-distressed commercial sales exceeding $100,000, and multi-property transactions exceeding $300,000.

    The findings are based on national aggregates, which have been adjusted to account for typical data infill after the end of the reporting quarter, reflecting a more accurate representation of commercial real estate activity.

    The metrics employed in this section include the count of transactions (#), and the total dollar volume transacted ($). Additionally, map images illustrate the geographic distribution of changes in transaction volume relative to national commercial real estate market trends.

    Special note: Given that multi-property transactions generally do not allocate the price paid to each individual property transacted, many of the pricing and pacing measures are based only on the smaller subset of single-property transaction data, often with additional criteria specific to the transaction or property.

    Transaction volume by quarter

    Count (#)
    Dollar volume ($)
    Total number of properties transacted
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Total dollar volume of properties transacted
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Market activity comparison


    The following charts compare the difference between the change in transaction volume for the 100 largest MSAs versus the change in transaction volume for the Nation.

    Note: For states with non-disclosure laws (Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming), recorded transactions may be delayed in appearing in the dataset; Commercial General property type is inclusive of mixed-use.

    Sources: Altus Group, Reonomy, US Census Bureau (geographic data for states/MSAs)

    Count (QoQ)
    Count (YoY)
    Dollar volume (QoQ)
    Dollar volume (YoY)

    Property transaction pricing and pacing

    Key highlights


    • The Median price per square foot for single-asset transactions increased 2.5% quarter over quarter in Q4 2025; general commercial (+4.4%), industrial (+3.9%), and retail (+2.5%) outperformed the overall market, while hospitality was the only sector to post a quarterly decline (-0.4%)


    • On a year-over-year basis, median pricing rose 12.1% across all property types, led by retail (+13.4%) and multifamily (+12.4%)


    • Since Q4 2019, immediately preceding the pandemic, median price per square foot has climbed 58.5%, with wide variation by sector. Industrial pricing is up 83.8% over this period, compared with a 38.2% increase for office


    • In 2025, the four major property types (industrial, multifamily, office, and retail) recorded positive year-over-year price growth in every quarter for the first time since 2022, with annual median transacted price gains exceeding 10% in each quarter


    Methodology


    Sourced from the Altus Group's Reonomy dataset, the following charts provide an overview of national trends in the pricing and pace of commercial property transactions, allowing for comparisons over time.

    Price trends are shown as median transacted price per square foot, with year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter comparisons for various property subtypes, offering insights into shifts in individual transaction values.

    Special note: Given that multi-property transactions generally do not allocate the price paid to each individual property transacted, many of the pricing and pacing measures are based only on the smaller subset of single-property transaction data, often with additional criteria specific to the transaction or property.

    Median transaction price per square foot




    Property type

    Q4 2025

    Q3 2025

    vs. Q3 2025

    Q4 2024

    vs. Q4 2024

    Multifamily

    $144

    $142

    1.7%

    $128

    12.4%

    Industrial

    $106

    $102

    3.9%

    $96

    10.9%

    Manufacturing

    $70

    $70

    0.4%

    $79

    -10.8%

    Other industrial

    $103

    $101

    1.4%

    $90

    14%

    Storage

    $90

    $82

    10.9%

    $68

    32%

    Warehouse and distribution

    $112

    $108

    3.8%

    $102

    9.4%

    Office

    $136

    $134

    1.6%

    $123

    10.8%

    Medical office

    $203

    $196

    3.5%

    $178

    13.6%

    Other office

    $130

    $128

    2.0%

    $116

    12.3%

    Retail

    $138

    $134

    2.5%

    $121

    13.4%

    Anchor + other big box

    $97

    $103

    -5.8%

    $93

    4.4%

    Automotive

    $139

    $143

    -3.1%

    $125

    10.9%

    Bars and restaurants

    $209

    $208

    0.3%

    $183

    13.7%

    Street and strip centers

    $136

    $130

    4.5%

    $119

    14.5%

    Hospitality

    $133

    $133

    -0.4%

    $129

    2.8%

    Full service

    $138

    $139

    -0.8%

    $132

    4.1%

    Limited service

    $123

    $121

    1.6%

    $117

    5.1%

    Commercial general and mixed use

    $101

    $97

    4.4%

    $91

    11.5%

    Commercial general / misc

    $92

    $86

    6.4%

    $79

    16.6%

    Mixed use

    $108

    $104

    4.2%

    $97

    11.4%

    Pricing by property sector


    Asset values rose both quarterly and annually across most traditional sectors in Q4 2025, with the median price per square foot for single-property transactions reached a post-COVID high across every sector except hospitality (-0.4% quarterly). Since Q4 2019, median price growth has been led by industrial (+83.8%) and multifamily (+66.3%), compared to a +58.5% increase across all single-property transactions.


    Pricing since Q1 2015
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Property sectors and subtypes

    Key highlights


    • In Q4 2025, 12 of 15 subsectors posted quarter-over-quarter increases in median price per square foot, led by storage (+10.9%), general commercial (+6.4%), and street and strip centers (+4.5%). Full-service hotels (-0.8%), automotive (-3.1%), and anchor and other big-box retail (-5.8%) were the only subsectors to record median price declines compared to Q3 2025


    • Year-over-year, 14 of 15 subsectors saw median transaction price appreciation, with storage (+32.0%) and general commercial (+16.6%) leading the gains, while manufacturing was the lone exception, with median pricing down 10.8%


    • Transaction velocity in Q4 2025 remained above pandemic-era lows but still below 2015-2019 norms, on a typical day in Q4 2025, the number of assets that traded was 4.9% below the pre-pandemic trends


    • Median transacted building size was largely unchanged quarter over quarter but increased across all sectors on an annual basis, led by hospitality (+6.9%), office (+4.9%), and industrial (+3.9%)


    • Median deal size ($) rose by double digits across all major sectors year over year, led by multifamily (+19.9%) and office (+19.3%)


    • Across the ten largest MSAs, year-over-year changes in median transacted price per square foot varied widely by market and property type; Los Angeles saw declines across all major sectors, while Chicago, Dallas, and Phoenix recorded median transacted price gains across the board, and the largest year-on-year increase occurred in Washington, D.C. retail (+39.6%), while the steepest decline was in Washington, D.C. office (-39.1%)


    Methodology


    Sourced from the Altus Group's Reonomy dataset, the following charts provide insights into transaction activity and pricing metrics across individual property sectors.

    Price trends are illustrated using a median transacted price per square foot, with additional breakdowns by subsector, and by the 10 largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) by population. Insights into the scale of activity are provided through typical transaction size, represented by the average value and square footage of reported deals.

    Additionally, daily figures indicate the median dollar value of transactions occurring on a given day over a quarter, offering additional perspective on transaction volume and market velocity through time.

    Metrics based on transaction volume leverage national aggregates, which are adjusted for typical data infill following the end of the reporting quarter. This adjustment enables a more accurate representation of activity, ensuring that the data captures a comprehensive view of transaction trends and sector-specific performance.

    Property sector pricing by major MSAs


    Sourced from the Altus Group's Reonomy dataset, the following sortable table provides pricing metrics across ten major metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs).

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    MSA
    Industrial - Q4 2025 ($/SF)
    Industrial - Change from Q4 2024
    Office - Q4 2025 ($/SF)
    Office - Change from Q4 2024
    Multifamily - Q4 2025 ($/SF)
    Multifamily - Change from Q4 2024
    Retail - Q4 2025 ($/SF)
    Retail - Change from Q4 2024
    New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ $240 0% $169 21% $245 -2% $267 0%
    Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA $281 -2% $300 -1% $242 -25% $252 -27%
    Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN $95 9% $120 16% $102 3% $115 9%
    Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX $154 13% $145 2% $179 15% $221 31%
    Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX $113 20% $108 9% $126 -9% $166 -6%
    Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV $224 26% $136 -39% $168 6% $293 40%
    Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD $113 15% $126 -9% $136 19% $125 12%
    Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL $233 7% $281 8% $296 22% $319 -6%
    Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA $104 2% $140 0% $155 12% $169 -5%
    Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ $98 12% $252 11% $135 2% $248 21%

    Metrics by property sector subtype


    Note: “Median” figures represent the typical amount transacted on a given day per quarter.

    Office
    Retail
    Industrial
    Multifamily
    Hospitality
    Commercial general and mixed use
    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median pricing by subtype ($/SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size ($)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    Median transaction size (SF)
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    Source: Altus Group, Reonomy, Q4 2025 US Commercial Real Estate Investment and Transactions Quarterly report

    AGL - US CRE Investment Report Background

    Q4 2025


    US CRE Investment & Transactions Quarterly Report


    Looking for the latest data on US commercial real estate transaction activity? This quarterly report is one of the industry’s earliest and most detailed insights into national and MSA-level transaction volumes, pricing, and property-sector trends.

    About the authors

    Cole Perry's Profile
    Cole Perry

    Associate Director of Research

    Altus Group

    Altus Research

    CRE Exchange Podcast

    Cole Perry is a Associate Director of Research with Altus Group's Research team. In this role, Cole delivers key insights into macroeconomics, capital markets, and the broader commercial real estate sector.

    Cole boasts a rich background in Commercial Real Estate analytics with previous roles at CompStak and Brixmor Property Group. He holds dual M.S. degrees from Columbia University in Urban Planning and Real Estate Development.

    Contact us
    People - Omar Eltorai's Profile
    Omar Eltorai

    Senior Director of Research

    Altus Group

    Altus Research

    CRE Exchange Podcast

    Omar Eltorai is a Research Director at Altus Group. With more than a decade of experience in the industry in investment management and financing roles,

    Omar's focus is on macro, capital and market trends affecting the US CRE market. Beyond regularly authoring articles and reports, his commentary and analysis has been featured in various media publications, including: Wall Street Journal, Globe Street, and Yahoo! Finance.

    Contact us
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    Unlock CRE property intelligence across the United States with Reonomy

    Reonomy makes it easy to source new deals and find off-market opportunities with its leading CRE property and ownership intelligence.

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    Disclaimer


    This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only and does not constitute professional advice or services of Altus Group, its affiliates and its related entities (collectively “Altus Group”). You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice.

    A number of factors may influence the performance of the commercial real estate market, including regulatory conditions and economic factors such as interest rate fluctuations, inflation, changing investor sentiment, and shifts in tenant demand or occupancy trends. We strongly recommend that you consult with a qualified professional to assess how these and other market dynamics may impact your investment strategy, underwriting assumptions, asset valuations, and overall portfolio performance.

    No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this publication, or the suitability of the information for a particular purpose. To the extent permitted by law, Altus Group does not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. The distribution of this publication to you does not create, extend or revive a client relationship between Altus Group and you or any other person or entity. This publication, or any part thereof, may not be reproduced or distributed in any form for any purpose without the express written consent of Altus Group.

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