October 2007

The Situation:

  • The lower mainland has been experiencing double-digit construction escalation for the last few years.
  • Escalation will continue to be experienced in 2008 but at lower levels for some trades.
  • Geographic location of the site does still make a difference.  UBC is still particularly hard hit.
  • Quality of tradesmen has declined dramatically and productivity has decreased significantly from four years ago.
  • Deficiencies are more prevalent and need to be focused on from a management perspective.
  • Schedule durations have increased significantly from four years ago. This impacts the bottom line.
  • Consultants continue to be overextended, often leading to poorly coordinated drawings that result in higher bids and/or change orders.
  • Some trades are seeing projects halted, in addition to a modicum of price softening.
  • Cash is still king, necessitating early payments and prompt payments to help secure better pricing.
  • Watch for cash allowances: What seems like a fixed-price contract may not be at all.  Ask for and review in detail all back-up to cash allowances.
ALTUS HELYAR COST GUIDE (AS OF JULY 2007)

Building Type

$ Per Sqare Foot

Office Buildings

Under 5 Stories

160 – 200

5 – 10 Stories

180 – 230

10 – 20 Stories

200 – 280

20 – 30 Stories

220 – 280

Over 30 Stories

N/A

Stores

Strip Plaza

100 – 125

Enclosed Mall

180 – 220

Anchor/Department Store

140 – 180

Supermarket

140 – 180

Discount Store

100 – 125

Schools

Elementary

160 – 200

High School

190 – 240

Technical/Vocational School

230 – 300

Universities & Colleges

280 – 350

Hospitals

Chronic Care

310 – 380

Active Treatment/Acute Care

370 – 450

Laboratories

380 – 480

Nursing Homes

Nursing Homes/Long-Term Care

180 – 240

Hotels

Budget

145 – 175

4-Star Full Service

190 – 260

Luxury

260 – 450

Parking Garages

Free Standing (above grade)

60 – 85

Underground

75 – 105

Residential Condominiums and Apartments

Basic Quality

160 – 210

Medium Quality

210 – 250

High Quality

250 – 380

Point Towers – 45 to 80 Storeys (Medium Quality)

260 – 330

Point Towers – 45 to 80 Storeys (High Quality)

N/A

Townhouses

Row (Medium Quality)

95 – 120

Stack (Medium Quality)

120 – 140

Walk-Up Timber Frame (Basic)

110 – 150

Walk-Up Timber Frame (Medium)

125 – 165

Walk-Up Timber Frame (High)

150 – 280

Houses

Speculative (Basic Quality)

100 – 140

Speculative (Medium Quality)

140 – 200

Speculative (High Quality)

200 – 330

Custom Built

330 – 1,000

Light Engineering Factories & Warehouses

20,000 – 50,000 Sq.Ft. (25-foot Clear Height)

80 – 100

50,000 – 100,000 Sq.Ft. (25-foot Clear Height)

75 – 100

100,000 – 200,000 Sq.Ft. (25-foot Clear Height)

70 – 90

Site Servicing

Local Roads – 8-metre Road Width (Per Metre)

2,200 – 2,500

Arterial Roads – 9-metre Road Width (Per Metre)

2,500 – 3,300

Arterial Roads – 12-metre Road Width (Per Metre)

3,200 – 3,700

Private Roads – 6-metre Road Width (Per Metre)

1,700 – 2,000

Residential Row Townhouses (Per Unit)

16,700 – 21,800

Industrial (Per Acre)

99,000 – 158,000

Commercial (Per Acre)

153,000 – 202,000

 

  • Tight market city-wide, especially downtown.
  • No near- or mid-term relief in sight for downtown from new supply.
  • New supply capacity exists in Burnaby and other suburban markets.
  • Suburban developers have, so far, been reluctant to proceed without a significant lead tenant commitment.
  • Rental rates expected to climb sharply, due to lack of options for tenants and a stable/strong local economy.
  • As of October 15, 2007, availability of office space is approximately 5.7% (approx. 2.5 million s.f. of available office space).  Approximately four years ago (Q3 2003), availability was over 15%.
  • Office market rents throughout the GVRD have escalated upwards over the past 18 months.  Land values and construction costs have also increased.
  • Currently, 11 buildings (976,248 s.f.) are under construction in suburban Vancouver, of which approximately 38.6% is pre-leased.
RECENT SUBURBAN VANCOUVER OFFICE BUILDING SALES

Property Name

Municipality

Closing Date

Rentable Area

Sales Price

Approx. Year 1-5

Sales Price

Average C.F. Yield **

$ p.s.f.

Queens Court

New Westminster

Mar-07

84,429

$14,515,000

-

$172

4400 Dominion

Burnaby

Jun-07

91,039

$18,300,000

-

$201

First Capital Place

New Westminster

Jan-07

59,880

$13,200,000

-

$220

Canada Way I & II

Burnaby

Jun-07

118,537

$26,800,000

-

$226

Pacific Business Centre

Richmond

Aug-07

99,332

$23,100,000

-

$233

Central City

Surrey

Jul-07

1,055,725

$245,750,000

-

$233

Birks Building

Vancouver

Jan-07

92,767

$22,900,000

-

$247

Royal Bank Building

New Westminster

Mar-07

69,510

$17,400,000

-

$250

Harbourside

North Vancouver

Dec-06

72,157

$18,400,000

-

$255

Westmar Building

North Vancouver

May-07

38,077

$10,200,000

-

$268

Hycroft Centre

Vancouver

Mar-07

33,652

$12,775,000

-

$380

TOTAL

1,815,105

$423,340,000

5.83%

$233

** C.F. is Cash Flow (i.e. NOI - Tenant Improvements - Lease Commissions - Captial Expenditures - Structural Allowance)

 

Real Estate Values remain high although in some markets in Canada there are now signs that demand may be fraying around the edges.  In Greater Vancouver, however, it would appear that values for quality product, for the most part, continue to either rise slightly, or have at least maintained their historical highs.

Vancouver continues to be a preferred location for real estate investment in Canada, and remains a competitive location among Pacific Rim cities, in terms of occupancy costs.

There is also evidence of strong office demand for B.C. real estate, with recent sales revealing robust valuation parameters, i.e., IRR / OCR, in particular for secondary office in Greater Vancouver.

Investors still have to compete with multiple offers on any quality product coming to the B.C. market.

There still appears to be a lack of quality real estate investment product currently available in Greater Vancouver.

The poorer availability of debt, the anticipated higher debt costs and more stringent credit requirements may have some negative impact on a few of the property classes over the short term.

Despite high prices and low cap rates, some investors contacted appear to see real estate as a solid long-term investment. They are not overly concerned about whether we could be nearing the top of this market cycle, since many are looking one or more cycles into the future.  There is no strong evidence to suggest that a downturn in the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Market is imminent.  High land and construction costs continue to push replacement costs higher.  This helps maintain current pricing levels.

Development Land Property Taxes

Property assessment of development land is a greater challenge these days with higher land values, rising construction costs and accelerated pace of development.  Assessed value is changing rapidly and predictability of property taxes is increasingly more difficult.  No doubt this trend will continue as we roll into the 2008 assessment year which will reflect values as at July 1, 2007.

Assessment Must Be Equitable

If you have recently purchased land, you may be surprised when you receive your 2008 tax bill. For 2007, land assessments saw the largest increase in value.  When assessing a parcel of land, the purchase price of the property will generally offer the best evidence of its market value, and must be considered in determining its assessed value. It is important to note that in B.C., properties must be assessed in accordance with the Assessment Act "at actual value in a fair and consistent manner." This has been interpreted by the courts to establish that a property cannot be assessed inequitably when compared to similar properties in the same jurisdiction. Accordingly, it is important to confirm that the assessment of a recently purchased property is equitable with similar properties in its jurisdiction.

The assessed value of the purchased property cannot increase disproportionately, relative to similar properties. For each property type, any sales relevant to that class of property must be considered in establishing assessments for the coming year. It is worth noting that often there are comparatively few sales to rely on when determining assessment parameters for land, so it is likely that only a limited number of sales in a particular jurisdiction will be heavily relied upon.

Improvement Value Must Be Accurate

With regard to developments under construction, the assessor tends to use the "Cost Approach" to value.  This is based on the principle of substitution, which assumes a purchaser would pay no more than the cost of creating a similar property.  

A problem in the use of the "Cost Approach" is that it is based on a theory of value rather than on actual market evidence.  Furthermore, only certain construction costs are assessable and must be physically in place.  In addition, some construction costs are inherent in the land value,  or are extraordinary, and therefore not assessable.

Partially complete buildings will appear on the Assessment Roll, based on the physical condition and permitted use as at October 31st in the year prior to the assessment year.  This means that for the 2008 assessment year, the physical condition date is October 31, 2007.

Classification Must Be Correct

As residential tax rates are typically several times higher than non-residential rates, it is crucial to ensure that a property has been properly classified, and if applicable, that the split between classes is correct.

Land values have risen at a greater rate than those for other property types. Consequently vacant land and development properties have been experiencing greater tax increases than fully developed properties.  It is therefore essential that these properties are properly classified, to ensure that they achieve the lowest possible tax exposure.

It is important to consider the present use in addition to the "highest and best use" of the land, given that it is the present use that will establish the classification of a property. A change in classification could shift the tax rate from business to residential - which is significantly lower. 

In summary, it is important to carefully audit your assessment (value and classification) and to consider how your property is assessed in comparison with similar properties.  Your assessment could be reduced if appealed through equity provisions, assessable construction costs or classification change.


For valuation-related questions, please contact David Eger at 604-683-5591 or david.eger@altusgroup.com For cost-related questions, please contact Steve Elias at 604-683-5591 or steve.elias@altusgroup.com For property-assessment-related questions, please contact David Howard at 604-683-5591 or david.howard@altusgroup.com

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1040 West Georgia Street
Suite 630
Vancouver, BC  V6E 4H1
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