Clayton Research provides a wide range of demographic and economic analysis and projections to clients as an integral part of our real estate and industry studies, or as a "stand alone" product. Our strength is the combination of detailed analysis by region and industry and a thorough understanding of macro-economic forecasting. Insightful economic analysis and impact studies are often critical to companies undertaking large investments, and groups trying to effect positive changes in government policy.

Clayton Research maintains short and long term macro population projections for Canada, the provinces and large urban centres. The basis of our projections is a cohort survival model underwritten by our formal macroeconomic forecast.

Clayton Research provides small area projections of population for municipalities, traffic zones, or other small-area geographies. The basis of these projections is a persons per unit (PPU) model underwritten by our housing demand forecast. Small area projections are critical in transportation studies, retail studies and environmental assessment studies.

What impact will the aging population have on house construction, resale housing markets, consumer goods and appliance sales, mortgage markets, etc.? How will the school system, educational institutions and the labour market be impacted by upcoming trends? Clayton Research has explored these questions using a sophisticated understanding of demographics and social change.

Governments have control over economic policy, but policy change is felt by industry and consumers and can impact local or national economic development. Clayton Research works with associations, industry and business improvement areas to help understand the potential impacts of changes in government economic policy.

Where should the price of grape juice be set to satisfy both farmers and wine makers? How is the potential viability of a supermarket affected by local spending levels? Economists at Clayton Research have a broad range of experience with microeconomic modelling of many applications.

Examples of the some demographic and economic analysis assignments undertaken by Clayton Research are outlined below:

This project involved 35-year employment and population projections for the GTA and its constituent regions, municipalities and traffic zones. This study was conducted on behalf of a private consortium involved in a bid for the privatization of Highway 407. Our work on this project entailed a very detailed analysis of the economic prospects of the constituent regions and municipalities along with detailed land-use projections by traffic zone. As part of this analysis, inventories of vacant development land by use were prepared.

Clayton Research was retained by First Professional Management Inc. to prepare projections for the 2001-2016 period of population by age for Algoma District. Projections were prepared for the area as a whole, and for a number of retail trade areas within. They were prepared with the Clayton Research cohort survival model, and were underwritten by a comprehensive review of the economic prospects and expected demographic changes for the local area. The economic review involved interviews with most major employers in the area, and discussions with a number of local officials.

Loblaw Properties retained Clayton Research to prepare forecasts for the 2001-2021 period of population for a trade area around a proposed supermarket site. Projections were prepared with the Clayton Research persons per unit (PPU), which considered household growth projections.

Clayton Research was retained by Re/Max Ontario-Atlantic to assess the impact of demographic and economic trends over the next ten years on the housing market in several major cities across Canada.

Clayton Research was retained by the Wine Council of Ontario to build a microeconomic model of fair pricing of late-harvest grape juice (used in Ice Wine production). Mr. Norman appeared as an expert witness before the Ontario Farm Products Marketing Board to present these findings.

Clayton Research was retained by the Bloor-Yorkville BIA to assess the economic impact to local retailers of a proposed property tax class for small street-oriented retailers.

Frank A. Clayton, President, Peter Norman, Vice President, and Jeannette Gillezeau, Vice President, are the key people involved in various demographic and economic analyses and impact assignments. Read more about Peter Norman, Jeannette Gillezeau, Frank A. Clayton, and other senior staff members.